Shifting focus to diplomatic settling of the conflict
and decreasing the military compound
makes Ukrainian position at the negotiations
a fortiori defective
The military aspects of retreat from the airport, and absence of external support still require a detailed analysis by experts. At the moment one thing is clear: Ukraine’s military and strategic position has seriously worsened. It will result in a more complex diplomatic exposition. This was already revealed in resolutions made at the “Normandy format” foreign ministers’ meeting in Berlin. The Ukrainian minister virtually had to agree with what Putin offered in his letter to President Poroshenko. Heavy armaments will be moved away from the actual frontline, that is, on the conditions which are not favorable for Ukrainian troops. Moreover, the loss of territory in such scenario is obvious.
The next aspect is psychological. Ukraine’s army is suffering humiliating defeats. Primarily, this is happening not because of the lack of armament and rear supplies, even though these factors are present, but because of the outdated system of command and units control. And finally, because of the incompetence of higher commanders, who are bound by the need to fit in political guidelines instead of performing combat tasks.
Our military problems lie first and foremost in the political and strategic planes. President Poroshenko publicly stated that there is no military solution to the Donbas problem. This seems to be true formally, but actually it is an extremely dangerous tendency, which disarms the country in the strategic sense and strips the army of a will to victory.
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